Polls for the 2024 Florida election: Harris vs. Trump

About our survey averages

Our averages include polls from The New York Times and FiveThirtyEight. The estimates take into account a number of factors, including how recent a poll is and how large its sample size is, whether a poll represents likely voters, and whether other polls have changed since a poll was conducted.

We also evaluate whether each pollster: Has a track record of accuracy in recent electionsIs a member of a professional opinion polling organizationConducts probability-based sampling

These elements determine how much weight each poll receives on average. And we consider pollsters who meet at least two of the three criteria to be “select pollsters” as long as they conduct polls for nonpartisan clients. Read more about our methodology.

The Times conducts its own national and state polls in conjunction with Siena College. These polls are included in the averages. The Times/Siena polls can be found here.

Sources: New York Times poll averages. Individual polls from FiveThirtyEight and The Times.