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New WBUR poll shows strong support for Harris and Warren in Massachusetts.

New WBUR poll shows strong support for Harris and Warren in Massachusetts.

Just weeks before the November election, Vice President Kamala Harris is comfortably ahead of former President Donald Trump among voters in deep-red Massachusetts, according to a new WBUR poll.

The poll also shows that Senator Elizabeth Warren has strong support in her fight for re-election: 56 percent of respondents said they would vote for her rather than her Republican challenger John Deaton.

The WBUR/CommonWealth Beacon poll of 800 likely voters (Topline, cross tables) was conducted September 12-18 and has a margin of error of 4.1%. It was conducted by the MassINC Polling Group and supported with funding from the Knight Election Hub.

According to the poll, Harris fared well among voters who identified as independent: 61% of voters voted for her, while Trump received 22%.

“It is obviously resonating with independents here in Massachusetts, and we will have to see if that also applies to [to other states] too,” said Rich Parr, senior research director at MassINC Polling Group.

According to the poll, Harris does indeed have some weaknesses. Among younger voters – those under 45 – her approval rating is between 46 and 51 percent, while among older voters it is between 65 and 32 percent.

“The current administration, and that includes the vice president, has not shown much difference from the Trump administration on Gaza,” said Samantha Fletcher, 29, of Allston in a follow-up interview with WBUR.

Fletcher said she was considering not voting for Harris to express the anger she and her community feel about U.S. policy in the war between Israel and Hamas.

“I think the Democratic Party needs to know this,” she said.

When asked if the country is heading in the right direction, only 31 percent of respondents answered “yes” overall. Democrats and independents were among those who held a positive view; only 3 percent of Republicans said the country is heading in the right direction. Younger voters were among the most critical of the country's direction.

When it comes to political issues, Massachusetts voters were most concerned about jobs and the economy (55%), closely followed by reproductive rights and the future of democracy.

Voters' priorities varied considerably along party lines, with Democrats citing the future of democracy and abortion as their top concerns; Republicans cited the economy and immigration policy.

The poll is seen as good news for another prominent Democrat, with a majority of respondents saying they would support Warren in her quest for a third term in the Senate.

“I am convinced that she will represent us in the best possible way,” said 57-year-old Katie Durso of Arlington in an interview. She is among the 56 percent of respondents who said they would vote for her.

Durso pointed to Warren's role in creating the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and in going after big banks over things like junk fees.

“I trust her on such matters,” she said.

In contrast, only 35 percent of likely voters said they would support Republican lawyer and cryptocurrency advocate John Deaton. Nearly half had never heard of him.

“He has no chance of winning even if he becomes a household name,” said Jerold Duquette, a political scientist at Central Connecticut State University who studies New England politics. Duquette said Warren has a structural advantage because there are so many registered Democrats and independent voters with Democratic leanings.

“The idea that a Republican could be elected is really far-fetched, because [of] He said the role of another Republican senator in the bipartisan battle for control of the Senate was crucial. I think it's too easy to make that point to Massachusetts voters.”

There is a deep partisan divide on whether people believe the national election will be counted fairly and accurately, according to the poll. A majority of Republicans – 65 percent – said they were afraid of the vote count, compared to 3 percent of Democrats.

“I think we actually have a problem with the authority of our electoral process,” said Fred Rust, 69, of Framingham, a Republican who plans to vote for Trump again.

Although he does not believe the 2020 election was rigged, “there seem to have been a lot of suspicious things,” he said.

Durso, the Democrat from Arlington, accuses Republicans of sowing doubts about the electoral process.

“What worries me is that the Trump campaign is rigging the election,” she said.

Overall, survey respondents indicated that they had more confidence in Massachusetts' electoral system: 79 percent said they were confident that the results would be counted correctly across the state.

MassINC's Parr said the fact that people tend to believe things are better near them is a common dynamic in opinion polls.

“People don't like Congress but they like their own congressman, or they have concerns about education in the state but they like their own school,” he said.

This national-local divide is reflected in a question about election-related violence. While national polls show greater concern about major post-election violence, 80 percent of respondents in the WBUR poll said they did not think it was likely in Massachusetts.

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