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High voter turnout expected in 2024 elections – study

High voter turnout expected in 2024 elections – study

According to a study, there is great interest in the 2024 parliamentary elections; the expected turnout is 87 percent, significantly higher than the 78.89 percent in the 2020 elections.

With the two major political parties – the New Patriotic Party (NPP) and the National Democratic Congress (NDC) – battling for votes across the country, such a high turnout is likely to have a significant impact on the prospects of success of both parties, especially if they manage to mobilise their base and also win over swing voters.

The study also found that the NPP and the NDC were neck and neck in the presidential race, with 46.3 percent of voters surveyed saying they would vote for the NPP, while the same percentage remained loyal to the NDC.

Former President John Dramani Mahama, the NDC flagbearer, was considered to have more presence in the constituencies at present, but the study found that NPP Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia is popular with the Christian electorate, while the NDC's Mahama is popular with Muslim voters, including the Zongos.

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The study, from which the Daily The poll was conducted by a team of researchers from the University of Ghana led by their former colleague Dr Isaac Owusu, canvassing the views of 28,935 registered voters from all 276 constituencies between August 1 and 23 this year.


However, the results also showed that 4.4 percent of voters are likely to vote for other political parties and independent candidates. This could lead to a runoff election, the study said.


“A remarkable three percent are still undecided. The smaller parties and independent candidates shared 4.4 percent of the vote. This means that the smaller parties have the opportunity to push the election into a runoff. Neither the NDC nor the NPP can win over the entire undecided part of the electorate,” the study says.


The study again concluded that Nana Kwame Bediako, the leader of the New Force Movement, is expected to score a significant result due to his popularity among the young voters, while the flagbearer of the Movement for Change, Alan Kyeremateng, and the other political parties are also working hard to influence the voters' choice.


popularity


Further findings of the study showed that while 44 percent of respondents were satisfied with the NPP government and 43 percent felt that the NPP was able to fulfill its election promises, 47 percent felt that the NPP government had failed to implement most of its policies.


Thirty-nine percent of respondents said the party had done well in opposition since 2021, rating its performance as “good,” 21 percent described it as “very good,” 10 percent rated the party as “excellent,” 20 percent rated it as “poor,” and 10 percent said the party had been “very poor” in opposition.


Running buddy


As for the value that the running mate candidates of the two major political parties bring to the election, the poll showed that voters were not really influenced by the running mate candidates in their voting decision.


Regarding the NDC running mate, Prof. Naana Jane Opoku Agyemang, 75 percent of respondents said her choice would have no impact on their voting decision, while 79 percent of respondents said the choice of Dr. Mathew Opoku Prempeh would have no impact on their voting behavior.


“Starting with Prof. Naana Jane Opoku Agyemang, the majority (75 percent) of respondents said that her selection as the NDC's running mate would not affect their voting decision. However, 16 percent are willing to vote for the NDC because of her – and a significant proportion of eight percent are willing to vote against the NDC because of her,” the study said.


“In the case of Dr. Mathew Opoku Prempeh, the majority (79 percent) of respondents said that his selection as vice-presidential candidate for the NPP would not affect their voting decision. However, a significant proportion of nine percent are willing to vote against the NPP because of him,” the survey found.

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