Atlético-MG FC vs São Paulo FC prediction, betting tips and odds

São Paulo and Atlético-MG meet in the second leg of their quarter-final at the Arena MRV. Atletico Mineiro narrowly won the first leg away at the Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo by 0-1. This match is still wide open and both teams will be aiming for the decisive victory on Friday at the Arena MRV. Please note the carefully prepared tips.

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Atletico-MG

Form in all competitions: WWLWD

Atletico-MG is currently ranked 9th in the Brasileiro with 8 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses from 23 matches played. They reached the quarterfinals of the Copa Do Brasil after beating CRB by an aggregate score of 5-2. The ropes saved Atletico-MG in the first leg against São Paulo, as it was Rodrigo Battaglia who saved the day, scoring the only goal of the game for Atletico-MG in the last 6 minutes of the match.

Atletico-MG have a lead going into this clash, but it is a very narrow one and they will have to defend their record against São Paulo on Friday. They have also made it to the knockout stages of the Copa Libertadores, where they will face Fluminense in mid-September.

Sao Paulo FC

Form in all competitions: LLWWL

Sao Paulo have now lost three of their last five matches in all competitions, winning two and losing three. They lost the first leg against Atletico Mineiro, with the only goal of the game coming in the 92nd minute. São Paulo now have another chance at a possible comeback on Friday, but we doubt they will manage it.

This season, they have a league record of 12 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in 25 matches. São Paulo are also in the knockout stages of the Copa Libertadores, where they face Botafogo this month.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atletico-MG currently leads the H2H statistics with 11 wins and 5 draws, while São Paulo has to catch up with 4 wins.

Expert betting tips

First, it is important to note that Atletico-MG has never lost to São Paulo in their last 8 meetings and Atletico-MG has also won the last four meetings in a row. That is a tough call, especially given the current form of both teams and what is at stake. Atletico has a slim lead going into Friday's match, but São Paulo can turn things around. However, we believe Atletico Minero will not lose and the best-case scenario is a win or draw for the hosts with less than 3.5 goals on aggregate.

We see a pattern and that is that 4 of their last 5 meetings have seen at least two goals from both teams. Given the form of both teams, we should see at least two goals from both teams here. Another important fact is that the game between them is usually tough and hard as we see that there have been over 4.5 maps in total in their last 5 games.

• Atletico-MG has won the last 4 matches
• Atletico-MG has not lost against São Paulo in the last 8 matches
• Atletico-MG scored the first goal in 5 of the last 6 matches
• In 5 of the last 5 games there were more than 4.5 cards