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The “boring” style of Iowa football can contribute to victory

The “boring” style of Iowa football can contribute to victory

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IOWA CITY – On his first play in his first game as Iowa State's offensive coordinator, Nate Mouser laid all his cards on the table: a play-action pass deep through the middle of the field from Rocco Becht into double coverage for a 54-yard gain to speedy wide receiver Jaylin Noel.

On the very next play, Becht threw a perfect 21-yard touchdown pass to his other top receiver, 6-foot-4 Jayden Higgins, giving North Dakota a 7-0 lead just 38 seconds into the 2024 season.

That kind of aggressiveness is somewhere in Iowa State's pocket heading into Saturday's titanic matchup against Iowa at Kinnick Stadium. And the 21st-ranked Hawkeyes will need to be ready to improve their record against Campbell to 7-1 and defeat Iowa State at Kinnick for the first time since 2018.

Flashback to 2019, the first quarter of the Cy Hawk game in Ames. Before weather-related delays totaling three hours, Iowa State came up with a big play against the Hawkeyes when quarterback Brock Purdy threw a backwards pass to Deshaunte Jones, who threw a 51-yard touchdown to a completely uncovered La'Michael Pettway to put Iowa State up 7-3. With Matt Hankins injured that day, Iowa had an inexperienced cornerback in the game, DJ Johnson, who fell for the trick. But Johnson showed resilience and made big plays later, and he was named Big Ten Co-Freshman of the Week after Iowa's 18-17 victory in which he came back from a deficit.

This week, Iowa will also have to watch for Iowa State's potential to make big plays while sticking to its game plan for 60 minutes to defend the Cy Hawk trophy it secured last year with a 20-13 win at Jack Trice Stadium. TJ Hall, starting at cornerback for the second time in his career, will undoubtedly be tested by Iowa State's future NFL receivers.

More: How the loss to Nebraska helped make Iowa football player TJ Hall a starter for the Hawkeyes

“We have to be on guard the whole game,” Hall said. “We know they're going to make some shots and we have to be ready for that.”

Iowa led the nation last year in preventing major advances, allowing just 20 scrimmage plays of over 20 yards. National champion Michigan was a distant second with 32 yards allowed. Keeping the game in front of them is a strength of the Hawkeyes' experienced secondary, which includes three sixth-year seniors in Jermari Harris, Quinn Schulte and Sebastian Castro, as well as third-year talents in Hall and Xavier Nwankpa.

“They're capable of making some explosive plays. That's what kills defenses,” Iowa linebacker and co-captain Jay Higgins said Tuesday. “We just have to make sure we have our eye discipline well under control. I'm sure there will be some trick and trick plays. We're just doing what we do best: staying disciplined. Solid football. Boring football.”

Boring football.

That's the plan for Saturday, at least for Iowa's defense. For the Hawkeyes, the road to a Cy Hawk victory starts with doing what they do best.

Chad Leistikow's Iowa-Iowa State prediction

Iowa State (1-0) at No. 21 Iowa (1-0)

Time, TV, Line: 2:30 p.m., CBS, Iowa with 3 points

Where Iowa State has the edge: Despite Cade McNamara's 251-yard, three-touchdown opening game for Iowa against Illinois State, the Cyclones have the edge when it comes to throwing the football. Becht has improved tremendously since his second career start against Iowa last year. An efficient, crisp passing game is one way to crack Phil Parker's fundamentally solid defense, and Iowa State is quite capable of doing that. Additionally, the Cyclones should be under less pressure in this game, and can rest easy knowing that the away team has won nine of the last 11 series meetings.

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Why Iowa native Xavier Nwankpa is looking forward to the CyHawk game

“Growing up here, this is a really big game,” said the Hawkeyes strong safety.

Where Iowa has the edge: The return of tight end Luke Lachey, the re-emergence of running back Kaleb Johnson and the discovery of freshman receiver Reece Vander Zee give Iowa confidence that it can take advantage of Iowa State's depleted linebackers, either on passes over the middle (which McNamara showed to be a strength last week) or in the run game. Defensive tackles Yahya Black and Aaron Graves have the ability to block Iowa State's Abu Sama-focused run game and make the Cyclones one-dimensional. The Hawkeyes also have a proven big-legged kicker in Drew Stevens, while Iowa State's Kyle Konrardy has never attempted a college field goal. Special teams always play a role in this duel.

More: Leistikow: Yes, Iowa football's offense will be faster in 2024

Prediction: Iowa 22, Iowa State 17 … Three things shifted my preseason prediction six points in Iowa's direction: improved quarterback play, Iowa State's injury situation and the emotional boost of head coach Kirk Ferentz's return from a one-game suspension. The Hawkeyes' offense hasn't managed more than 313 yards since the 2017 game against Iowa State, but they'll surpass that mark in Tim Lester's second game as offensive coordinator. Some timely runs by the wide receivers, a strong kicking game, a tough defense and clean quarterback play helped Iowa win, putting the total over 35.

Hawkeyes columnist Chad Leistikow has worked for The Des Moines Register and USA TODAY Sports Network for 29 years. Chad is the 2023 INA Iowa Sports Columnist of the Year and NSMA Co-Sportswriter of the Year in Iowa. Join Chad's texting group (free for subscribers) at HawkCentral.com/HawkeyesTexts. Follow @ChadLeistikow on X.

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