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Election 2024: Trump 48%, Harris 46%

Election 2024: Trump 48%, Harris 46%

Thursday, August 29, 2024

Former President Donald Trump is still ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris, but the lead is now only two percentage points.

The latest nationwide phone and online poll from Rasmussen Reports found that in a two-way matchup, 48% of likely U.S. voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris. Three percent (3%) say they would vote for another candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. These results show a closer race than a week ago, when Trump had a three-percent lead with 49%, while Harris had 46%. (To see the wording of the poll question, click here.)

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The poll of 1,893 likely U.S. voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 22 and August 25-28, 2024. The sampling margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports polls is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and dissemination of information on public opinion.

We conduct opinion polls on a wide range of topics to inform our audience about current events and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we fund the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships and advertising. Nightly polls on topics in politics, business and lifestyle provide the content to update the Rasmussen Reports website several times a day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. In addition, the data is put into a daily updated newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the daily presidential poll and commentary from the Rasmussen Report, is available to the general public for free. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or $34.95 a year and give subscribers exclusive access to more than 20 articles a week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence and issues that affect us all. For those who are really interested in the numbers, Platinum members can view demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.

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