Phillies vs. Braves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, August 29, 2024

Two of the league's best hitters face off Thursday when the Philadelphia Phillies (78-55) and Atlanta Braves (73-60) square off at 6:40 p.m. ET live on NBCS-PH. Trea Turner has a .305 batting average for the Phillies (-154 favorites on the moneyline), while Marcell Ozuna leads the underdog Braves (+131) with a .309 average.

For Philadelphia, Cristopher Sanchez will get the ball, while Atlanta will counter with Charlie Morton.

Odds for Phillies vs. Braves

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Playing time and information

Who will win the Phillies against the Braves?

Betting trends for the Phillies and Braves

The Phillies have won 66 of the 106 games in which they were the moneyline favorite this season (62.3%).

Philadelphia has a record of 47-21 (69.1% of games won) when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -154 or less.

The Braves have won 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 games they have played as underdogs this season.

Atlanta has played as an underdog of +131 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Phillies have played 133 games with set over/under limits and have combined with their opponents to exceed the total 61 times (61-65-7).

The Braves and their opponents have reached the over in 49 of their 133 games this season.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies score the seventh most runs in baseball (646 total, 4.9 per game).

With a total of 157 home runs, Philadelphia ranks 11th in the MLB.

The Phillies are fifth in the MLB with a batting average of .258.

Philadelphia ranks 13th in the MLB with 8.4 strikeouts per game.

The Phillies pitching staff has a combined K/9 of 8.8, making it the eighth-best in the Major Leagues.

Philadelphia has a team ERA of 3.71, ranking third among all pitching teams in the MLB.

Braves Stats & Insights

With a total of 576 runs scored, the Braves are ranked 16th in the majors this season.

Atlanta's 174 home runs rank fourth in Major League Baseball.

The Braves have a team batting average of .242 this season, ranking 16th among MLB teams.

Atlanta ranks 24th with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

The Braves have a K/9 of 9.6 as a pitching team this season, making them the best in baseball.

Atlanta has an ERA of 3.64 this season, ranking second in baseball.

Key Phillies players to keep an eye on

Sanchez (9-9 with a 3.51 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 146 1/3 innings pitched) is seeking his 10th win when he starts for the Phillies, his 26th of the season.

Alec Bohm has a .291 batting average and a team-record 89 RBIs for Philadelphia.

Bryce Harper has 124 hits and an OBP of .367 and a slugging percentage of .520 this season.

Kyle Schwarber has a .460 slugging average and 28 home runs this season, the most on his team, and he has also collected 82 RBIs.

Nicholas Castellanos has 126 hits this season and an OBP of .301. His slugging average this year is .418.

Key Braves players to keep an eye on

The Braves will send Morton (7-7) to the mound for his 25th start this season.

Ozuna leads the Braves in home runs (37) and runs batted in (98) and has a team-high batting average of .309.

Matt Olson has a batting average of .231 with 30 doubles, one triple, 23 home runs and 52 walks.

Jorge Soler has a batting average of .236 with 25 doubles, one triple, 17 home runs and 59 walks.

Orlando Arcia has a batting average of .224 with 20 doubles, 13 home runs and 32 walks.

Injuries to the Phillies and Braves

Phillies: Spencer Turnbull: 60 days IL (back), Luis Ortiz: 60 days IL (ankle)

Braves: Austin Riley: 10 days IL (hand), Ozzie Albies: 10 days IL (wrist), Spencer Strider: 60 days IL (elbow), Alex Jordan Minter: 60 days IL (hip), Angel Perdomo: 60 days IL (elbow), Huascar Ynoa: 60 days IL (elbow), Ronald Acuña Jr.: 60 days IL (knee), Raymond Kerr: 60 days IL (elbow)

Prediction for Phillies vs. Braves

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