Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, 09/08/2024 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, September 8, 2024

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/point distribution: Dolphins (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (11-6 last season) will try to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8 last year) on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this contest as a 3.5-point underdog. The over/under bet has been set at 49.

The Jacksonville Jaguars finished the season with a record of 9-8. The last time they were on the field, the Jaguars played against the Titans and lost 28-20. Trevor Lawrence completed 29/43 with 280 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 81.5 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. Travis Etienne was the Jaguars' best running player with 16 passes for 57 yards (3.6 yards per attempt). Calvin Ridley averaged 17.7 yards per reception by gaining 106 yards on 6 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran 23 times and amassed 82 yards, an average of 3.6 yards per run. They ultimately ran 66 plays that gave them 362 yards. Jacksonville allowed 17 passes on 27 attempts for a total of 152 yards, a passing percentage of 63.0%. Against the rush, the Jaguars allowed 175 yards on 26 attempts, an average of 6.7 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to getting into the end zone, the Jacksonville Jaguars averaged 22.2 PPG. As a unit, they averaged 96.8 yards on the ground, which ranked 24th in the league. The Jaguars totaled 5,772 yards last season. Jacksonville as a unit gained 199 first downs and was hampered by 83 violations for 644 yards. They gave the ball away to the opposition 30 times (14 interceptions and 16 fumbles). Jacksonville scored 22 touchdowns through the air and 17 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of passing yards, the Jaguars gave up 4,076 yards, which ranked them 26th in the NFL. Over the course of their 17 games played, they gave up 239.8 yards per game through the air and allowed a pass completion percentage of 65.5%. They conceded 342.8 yards per game, which ranked them 22nd in the NFL. Opposing teams averaged 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and 103.1 rushing yards per game last season. Over the course of last year, they allowed 1,752 yards through the running game in 17 games. The Jaguars ranked 17th in the NFL in terms of opponent scoring, giving up 21.8 points per game.

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The Dolphins finished the year with a record of 11-6. In their last game, the Dolphins suffered a 26-7 loss to the Chiefs. Tua Tagovailoa (1 touchdown) finished the game with 199 yards on 20/39 passing and a quarterback rating of 63.9. He had 1 interception and his Y/A was 5.1 yards. Tyreek Hill was part of the Dolphins passing game, returning 5 balls for 62 yards (12.4 yards per catch). Raheem Mostert carried the ball 8 times for 33 yards and averaged 4.1 yards per carry for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with 264 total yards on 59 plays completed (4.5 yards per play). Miami ran 4.2 yards per attempt and finished the game with 76 yards on 18 attempts. Miami allowed 34 rushing attempts for 147 yards (4.3 yards per run). The Dolphins' pass defense allowed a success rate of 56.1% and gave up 262 yards on 23 of 41 passes.

The Miami Dolphins averaged 401.3 yards per game, ranking first in the league. They averaged 135.8 yards in the running game and carried the ball for 2,308 total yards. They threw 15 interceptions, lost 10 fumbles, and gained 223 first downs. The Miami offense had 767 yards in penalties on 97 violations, ranking 16th in the NFL in free yards given up. Last year, the Dolphins threw for a total of 4,514 yards through the air, not to mention an average of 265.5 passing yards per game, ranking first in the league. In terms of points scored, the Dolphins were second in the league, averaging 29.2 points per game.

The Dolphins allowed 23.0 PPG, 22nd among all NFL teams. They allowed 27 touchdowns through the air and 221.2 yards/game, 15th in the NFL. Miami allowed 1,650 total yards on the ground (97.1 yards per game) and 15 touchdowns by the run last year. The Dolphins defense was involved in 1,057 plays, 11th in the NFL. They had 27 turnovers last season (12 fumbles recovered and 15 interceptions). They allowed a total of 391 points during the season.

Who will win tonight’s Jaguars vs Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Man’s Tip: Take the Dolphins -3.5

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