Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks

It's an AL East battle as the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Boston Red Sox. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a prediction and pick for the Blue Jays and the Red Sox.

Expected starters for the Blue Jays and Red Sox

Yariel Rodriguez Comparisons Cooper Criswell

Yariel Rodriguez (1-5) with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.33

Last start: Rodriguez pitched 4.1 innings in his last start, allowing six hits, two walks and a home run. He gave up five runs but received a no-decision and the Blue Jays lost to the Reds.

2024 Road Splits: Rodriguez is 1-3 in eight road starts. He has a 5.16 ERA and an opponents' batting average of .223.

draw (5-4) with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.34

Last start: Criswell pitched 4.2 innings, allowing four hits, a walk and a home run. He allowed just one run but received a no-decision in a win over the Astros.

2024 Home Splits: Criswell has made seven starts and ten home appearances. He has a 2-2 record with a 3.93 ERA.

Here are the MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

MLB odds: Blue Jays-Red Sox odds

Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 (-162)

Money line: +124

Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+134)

Money line: -146

Over: 9.5 (-122)

Under: 9.5 (+100)

How to watch Blue Jays vs Red Sox

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET/ 4:10 p.m. PT

TV: Sportsnet/NESN

Stream: fuboTV (Click here for a free trial)

Why the Blue Jays will cover/win the spread

The Blue Jays rank 19th in the major leagues in runs scored, 18th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the way. He is batting .320 this year with a .395 on-base percentage. Guerrero has 27 home runs, 85 RBIs and 78 runs scored this year, all of which lead the team. Daulton Varsho has also been solid. He is batting .218 this year, but with a .300 on-base percentage. He has 15 home runs and 53 RBIs. Varsho has also stolen ten bases and struck out 66 times. George Springer rounds out the list of the year's best hitters. Springer is batting .220 with a .300 on-base percentage this year. He has 17 home runs and 51 RBIs. In addition, he has stolen 13 bases and scored 63 times on the year.

Ernie Clement has been great this past week. He has a .227 batting average with a .292 on-base percentage this past week. He has three home runs, seven RBIs and three runs scored this past week. Alejandro Kirk has also been solid this past week. He has a .333 batting average with a .429 on-base percentage this past week. He has two home runs and seven RBIs and has three runs scored. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has also been strong. He has a .400 batting average with a .538 on-base percentage this past week. He has two home runs, five RBIs and six runs scored this past week. The Blue Jays have been great this past week. They have a .266 batting average with a .342 on-base percentage over their last seven games. They have hit 16 home runs and scored 41 runs in their last seven games.

Why the Red Sox will cover/win the spread

The Red Sox rank sixth in runs scored, fourth in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage and third in slugging. Rafael Devers leads the way here. He's batting .293 with a .373 on-base percentage this year. He's hit 28 home runs and 80 RBIs this year. Additionally, Devers has struck out 81 times this year. Jarren Duran is also having a solid year. He's batting .290 with a .351 on-base percentage this year. Duran has hit 17 home runs and 64 RBIs. Additionally, he's stolen 32 bases and struck out 89 times. Ceddanne Rafaela rounds out the list of the year's best hitters. He's batting .260 with a .291 on-base percentage this year. Rafaela has hit 13 home runs, 61 RBIs and scored 63 times, and has also stolen 17 bases this year.

Tristan Casas has hit well this past week. He has a .318 batting average with a .400 on-base percentage this past week. Casas has two home runs, five RBIS, and three runs scored. Jarren Duran has also been solid this past week. He has a .250 batting average with a .480 on-base percentage this past week. He has two home runs and three RBIs, and has scored six runs. The week's top hitters are Masataka Yoshida, who has a .227 batting average with one home run, three RBIs, and two runs scored last week. The Red Sox have a .216 batting average with nine home runs and 22 runs scored in six games.

Final prediction and picks for the Blue Jays-Red Sox game

Yariel Rodriguez has struggled lately. The Blue Jays have lost each of the last five times Rodriguez has started. He has also allowed 14 runs in 20.1 innings. Still, the Red Sox are not hitting well. They have only scored a little over three runs per game over the last week. The Blue Jays are scoring nearly six runs per game over the same period. They should be able to score enough runs in this game to get the win.

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Final prediction and selection Blue Jays-Red Sox: Blue Jays ML (+124)