Braves vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks

Spencer Schwellenbach takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves as they face the Minnesota Twins. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Braves-Twins prediction and pick.

Expected starters for the Braves Twins

Spencer Schwellenbach Comparisons Simeon Woods Richardson

Spencer Schwellenbach (5-6) with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.03

Last start: Schwellenbach pitched 6.2 innings in his last start, allowing three hits and a walk. He allowed two runs and earned the win over the Phillies.

2024 Away Splits: Schwellenbach is 2-3 with a 3.98 ERA and .227 opposing batting average in seven road starts.

Simeon Woods Richardson (5-3) with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.18

Last start: Woods Richardson pitched five innings, allowing four hits, two walks and a home run, and allowed just one run in a win over the Padres.

Home Splits 2024: In ten starts at home, Woods Richardson is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA and an opponent's batting average of .197.

Here are the MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

MLB Odds: Braves-Twins Odds

Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+136)

Money line: -112

Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-164)

Money line: -104

Over: 8.5 (+100)

Under: 8.5 (-122)

How to watch Braves vs. Twins

Time: 7:40 p.m. ET/ 4:40 p.m. PT

Television: BSSO/BSNO

Stream: fuboTV (Click here for a free trial)

Why the Braves will cover/win the spread

The Braves rank 19th in the major leagues in runs scored, 17th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage and 12th in slugging. Marcell Ozuna leads the way this year. He has a .305 batting average and .377 on-base percentage this year. Ozuna has 37 home runs, 94 RBIs and 80 runs scored this year. Matt Olson has also been solid. He has a .226 batting average and .309 on-base percentage this year. Olson has 22 home runs, 66 RBIs and 56 runs scored. Jared Kelenic rounds out the list of active Braves' best hitters. He has a .236 batting average and .289 on-base percentage. He has 13 home runs, 29 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

Orlando Arcia has been great this past week. He's batting .238 and has a .292 on-base percentage. He's scored two home runs, four RBIs and two runs in the past week. Matt Olson hasn't been hitting great, but he's scoring runs. He's only batting .136 this past week. He's scored one home run, three RBIs and three runs in the past week. The Braves have batted .241 this past week and scored seven home runs. Still, they've scored just 16 runs in their past six games. That's good for less than three runs per game.

Only three members of the Braves have at-bats against Simeon Woods Richardson. Ramon Laureano and Gio Urshela both have at-bats but no hits. Jorge Soler is one in three with a double against Woods Richardson.

Why the Twins will cover/win the spread

The Twins rank seventh in the major leagues in runs scored, eighth in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage and sixth in slugging percentage. Ryan Jeffers leads the way this year. He has a .235 batting average and .315 on-base percentage this year. Jeffers has hit 20 home runs and 59 RBIs while scoring 47 runs. Meanwhile, Carlos Santana has also been solid this year. He has a .237 batting average and .325 on-base percentage this year. He has hit 18 home runs and 55 RBIs while scoring 50 runs this year. Willi Castro rounds out the list of the year's best hitters. He has a .253 batting average and .337 on-base percentage. He hit 11 home runs with 50 RBIs and scored 76 runs.

Trevor Larnach has been solid this week. He has a .368 batting average with a .400 on-base percentage this week. He has two home runs, five RBIs and four runs scored. Matt Walner has also been solid this week. He has a .313 batting average with a .450 on-base percentage this week. He has two home runs and five RBIs and scored two runs this week. Austin Martin rounds out the week's top hitters. He has a .400 batting average with four RBIs and three runs scored this week. The Twins have a .276 batting average with six home runs and 28 runs scored this week.

Final prediction and picks for the Braves-Twins game

Simeon Woods Richardson hasn't been great this year, but he's been solid. Spencer Schwellenbach has also pitched at about the same level this year. The difference in this game will be the two offensive units. The Twins have been better all year and much better in the last week. With the Braves dealing with a litany of injuries, they'll struggle to score points in this game. The Twins will be able to score enough points to take a lead and keep it in this game, so we're backing them to win.

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Final Braves-Twins Prediction and Pick: Twins ML (-104)