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Betting trends Jaguars – Bills: Tip, odds, point distribution and over/under prediction | Monday Night Football

Betting trends Jaguars – Bills: Tip, odds, point distribution and over/under prediction | Monday Night Football

The Buffalo Bills just defeated the Miami Dolphins 31-10 and will look to improve their record to 3-0 on Monday Night Football when they face the Jacksonville Jaguars, following the Jags' 18-13 loss to the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. Kickoff at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Jaguars – Bills: The situation

It is fair to say that the Bills quarterback Josh Allen The 2024 NFL season has begun with a bang. So far, the 28-year-old has completed 31 of 42 passes (73.8%) for 371 yards and three touchdowns for a rating of 124.2. In addition, Allen has also completed 11 carries for 41 yards (3.7 avg.) and two TDs. The former first-round pick (2018) is now in his 7th season with the Bills and has established himself as one of the league's best signal-callers. He has thrown for 4,000 yards in each of the last four seasons and has scored no fewer than 29 touchdowns during that span. In fact, it's very likely that Allen's performance will have a significant impact on the outcome of this game, so this is the perfect time to look at the odds for this game – see below.

  • Jaguars vs. Bills spread: Buffalo -5.5
  • Jaguars vs Bills, over/under: 45.5 points
  • Moneyline Jaguars vs. Bills: Buffalo -249, Jacksonville +203
  • JAC: The Jaguars have covered the spread in the third quarter in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 units)
  • BUF: The Bills have reached the moneyline in the third quarter in 11 of their last 19 games

Of course, Allen is not the only weapon the Bills possess. Also worth mentioning are running back James Cook. The Bills' biggest threat on the ground has caught a pass 30 times this season for 149 yards (5.0 avg.) and two touchdowns. From a memorable 49-yard run to the eight first downs he's picked up, the third-year player has made his mark this season. In addition, he's also proven to be a reliable pass catcher, catching four passes for 49 yards and a touchdown this season.

On the other side of the divide, we have another talented quarterback who is now in his fourth year in the NFL: Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence has thrown for over 4,000 yards in each of the last two seasons, but unlike his opponent on Monday night, he hasn't had a winning start to the season. In his last two games, the Jags' signal caller has completed just 26 of 51 passes (51%) for 382 yards. There were also three caries worth 53 yards. In total, Lawrence played 52 games in the league and achieved a success rate of 63.4% for 12,152 yards and 59 touchdowns. During that time, he recorded 39 interceptions.

Ultimately, if the Jaguars want to get back to winning ways, they'll need more than Lawrence's arm, which brings us to the arsenal he has at his disposal and players like first-round draft pick Brian Thomas Jr., who has put up impressive performances despite his team's current 0-3 record. Thomas currently leads the team with 141 yards receiving on six catches (23.5 avg.) and one score. Among those catches, we've seen two for 20 yards and one for 66 yards that have turned heads. He has two explosive catches of 20 or more yards, including a long one of 66 yards. He's also converted five first downs. So how will this game turn out? While it would be reasonable to put your faith in the Bills, the trends all point to the Jaguars pulling off an upset in this game, and that's why we're betting on it. Don't miss it!

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