Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, August 28, 2024

The San Diego Padres (76-58) will put their three-game winning streak to the test when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals (65-67) on Wednesday at 7:45 p.m. ET on BSMW. Bookmakers have the Padres as -122 favorites to extend their winning streak, while the Cardinals are +103 underdogs hoping to pull off an upset.

First up is Joe Musgrove from San Diego, who will face Andre Pallante from St. Louis.

Padres vs. Cardinals odds

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Betting trends for Padres and Cardinals

The Padres have a 48-36 record in games where they were favored on the moneyline (they have won 57.1% of those games).

San Diego has a 37-28 record (winning 56.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite at odds of -122 or less.

The Cardinals have started as underdogs 65 times this season and have won 32 of those games, or 49.2%.

St. Louis has entered 50 games this season as an underdog of +103 or more and has a 22-28 record in those matchups.

The Padres have combined with their opponents to exceed the total 73 times this season, giving them a record of 73-60-1 against the over/under.

In 63 of the Cardinals' 131 games, the odds were above the overall average.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have the No. 9 offense in the MLB, scoring 4.8 runs per game (639 total runs).

San Diego ranks 12th in the MLB with a total of 153 home runs.

With a batting average of .265, the Padres are the top hitters in the Major League.

San Diego has the fewest strikeouts in the Major League, averaging 6.5 strikeouts per game.

The 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings that the Padres pitching staff has averaged ranks third in the major leagues.

San Diego ranks 14th in the ERA comparison of all MLB pitching teams (3.97).

Cardinals Stats & Insights

The Cardinals have scored the 24th most runs in the league this season with 541 runs (4.1 per game).

St. Louis has hit 136 home runs this season, ranking 23rd in the Major Leagues.

The Cardinals' batting average of .246 ranks 13th in the league this season.

St. Louis ranks 11th among MLB offenses in strikeouts per game (8.2).

As a pitching team, the Cardinals average just 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, ranking 26th in the Major Leagues.

St. Louis pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.17 this year, which ranks 19th in the MLB.

Key Padres players to keep an eye on

Musgrove (4-4) gets the starting job for the Padres in his 14th start of the season. He has a 4.43 ERA in 65 2/3 innings pitched with 60 strikeouts.

Jurickson Profar leads San Diego in runs batted in with 80 and has a batting average of .287.

Jackson Merrill has 134 hits and an OBP of .322 and a slugging percentage of .490 this season.

Manny Machado has a .461 slugging average and 22 home runs this season, the most on his team, and has also collected 78 RBIs.

Luis Arraez leads San Diego in batting average (.305) this season, with four home runs and 38 RBIs.

Important Cardinals players to keep an eye on

Pallante (6-6) will be on the mound for the Cardinals, making his 15th start of the season.

Alec Burleson scored the most runs on his team with 21 home runs and 72 runs batted in.

Brendan Donovan has 27 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 38 walks with a batting average of .266.

Masyn Winn leads the Cardinals with a batting average of .284.

Nolan Arenado has a batting average of .269 with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 35 walks.

Injuries to the Padres and Cardinals

Padres: Ha-Seong Kim: 10 days IL (shoulder), Stephen Kolek: 15 days IL (forearm), Yu Darvish: 15 days IL (groin), Wandy Peralta: 15 days IL (adductor), Fernando Tatis Jr.: 60 days IL (quadriceps), Luis Patiño: 60 days IL (elbow)

Cardinals: Willson Contreras: 10 days IL (finger), Mike Siani: 10 days IL (oblique), Lance Lynn: 15 days IL (knee), Drew Rom: 60 days IL (biceps), Steven Matz: 60 days IL (back), Keynan Middleton: 60 days IL (forearm)

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