Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks

Max Meyer will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks in the second game of the series against the Rockies on Wednesday. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a prediction and pick for the Marlins vs. Rockies.

Expected starters for the Marlins-Rockies

Max Meyer Comparisons Kyle Freeland

Max Meyer (3-3) with an ERA of 5.44 and a WHIP of 1.36

Last start: Max Meyer allowed three runs on six hits and two walks and struck out two batters in six innings in a no-decision game against the Cubs on Friday.

2024 Road Splits: Max Meyer hasn't been particularly good on the road in his small sample size, where he is 1-2 and has a 5.68 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP.

Kyle Freeland (3-6) with an ERA of 5.70 and a WHIP of 1.49

Last start: Kyle Freeland suffered a loss against the Yankees on Friday after allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits, two walks and three strikeouts in 6.2 innings.

2024 Home Splits: Kyle Freeland has surprisingly played better at Coors Field than away, where he is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP.

Here are the MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

MLB Odds: Marlins-Rockies Odds

Miami Marlins: -1.5 (+146)

Money line: +106

Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (-178)

Money line: -124

Over: 11 (-105)

Under: 11 (-115)

How to watch the Marlins vs Rockies game

Time: 8:40 p.m. ET/5:40 p.m. PT

TV: Ballsport Florida, MLB Extra Innings

Stream: fuboTV (Free Trial)

Why the Marlins will cover/win the spread

The Miami Marlins have a good chance of defeating the Colorado Rockies on the road this Wednesday, largely due to the Rockies' current struggles and the potential of Marlins pitcher Max Meyer. The Rockies have had a rough season marked by significant challenges both in pitching and offense. They have the worst team ERA in Major League Baseball at 5.88 and struggle on offense with a third-worst wRC+ of 75, meaning their offense is about 25% below average.

Max Meyer may still be early in his career, but he has shown promise on the mound. His current ERA is 5.44, but he has the potential to capitalize on a weak Rockies lineup that has been plagued by injuries this season. Rockies star player Kris Bryant is on the injured list, and their pitching staff is severely depleted with key players like Kyle Freeland also out.

Additionally, the Marlins have shown resilience despite their own challenges. They have a slightly better team ERA than the Rockies and have shown the ability to exploit opponents' weaknesses. The Marlins' ability to strike out batters could be crucial against a Rockies lineup that is second-worst in strikeouts per game.

Overall, the Marlins have a good chance of getting a road win this Wednesday due to the Rockies' ongoing struggles and Meyer's ability to exploit their weaknesses.

Why the Rockies will cover/win the spread

The Colorado Rockies are on the verge of winning at home against the Miami Marlins this Wednesday. Kyle Freeland is the leading player on the mound. The Rockies play at Coors Field, giving them a clear home field advantage. The field has always been a challenge for visiting teams due to its elevation and dimensions that are favorable for hitters.

Kyle Freeland, a veteran pitcher for the Rockies, has shown resilience and skill, particularly in home games. His 3.86 ERA in home games shows he can effectively manage games at Coors Field, a stadium known for its high scoring potential. Freeland's experience and familiarity with pitching in Denver's unique conditions gives him an advantage over Max Meyer, who is still early in his career and may struggle with the effects of altitude on throwing motion.

Offensively, the Rockies have key players like Ryan McMahon and Brenton Doyle who have been instrumental in scoring runs and maintaining a competitive batting lineup. McMahon's .336 on-base percentage and Doyle's 21 home runs this season highlight their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, especially against a Marlins team that has shown weaknesses on defense and ranks 27th in fielding percentage.

Additionally, the Rockies' hitting power (141 home runs this season) means they are well positioned to exploit any weaknesses in the Marlins' pitchers. The combination of Freeland's pitching prowess at home and the Rockies' strong offense makes them a formidable opponent for the Marlins, setting the stage for a likely win on Wednesday.

Last Marlins-Rockies Prediction & Pick

In this exciting matchup between the Colorado Rockies and the Miami Marlins at Coors Field, the Rockies have a slight advantage due to their home-field advantage and Kyle Freeland's familiarity with the unique pitching conditions. Freeland's experience in dealing with the effects of elevation on ball movement could challenge Max Meyer, who is still adjusting to the major leagues. In addition, the Rockies' offense, led by power hitters like Ryan McMahon, is well suited to take advantage of the hitter-friendly dimensions of Coors Field. While the Marlins have potential, the combination of strategic pitching and offensive power gives the Rockies the upper hand.

Final Marlins-Rockies Prediction and Pick: Colorado Rockies ML (-124), Under 11 (-115)