Astros vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks

The Houston Astros visit the Philadelphia Phillies in what could be a World Series preview on Wednesday night. Below, we continue our MLB odds series with an Astros-Phillies prediction and tip. We'll also tell you how to watch the game.

Expected starters for Astros-Phillies

Spencer Arrighetti Comparisons Taijuan Walker

Spencer Arrighetti (6-11) with an ERA of 4.94, a WHIP of 1.41, 116.2 innings pitched, 140K/53BB, .249 oBA

Last start: at Baltimore Orioles: win, 6 innings, 3 hits, 0 runs, 1 walk, 6 strikeouts

2024 Road Splits: 12 starts, 5.49 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 60.2 innings pitched, 70K/30BB, .264 oBA

Taijuan Walker (3-5) with an ERA of 6.26, a WHIP of 1.58, 64.2 innings pitched, 53K/28BB, .291 oBA

Last start: at Kansas City Royals: loss, 3 innings, 8 hits, 6 runs, 1 walk, 2 strikeouts

2024 Home Splits: 8 starts, 5.73 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 37.2 innings pitched, 35K/20BB, .246 oBA

Here are the MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

MLB Odds: Astros-Phillies Odds

Houston Astros: -1.5 (+134)

Money line: -108

Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 (-162)

Money line: -108

Over: 10 (+100)

Under: 10 (-122)

How to watch the Astros vs Phillies game

Time: 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT

Television: Space City Home Network, NBC Sports Philadelphia

Stream: fuboTV (Free Trial)

Why the Astros will cover/win the spread

Spencer Arrighetti has been pretty average this season, but he's been great this month. In August, Arrighetti has started four times, and the Astros have had a chance to win each time. In those four starts, Arrighetti has thrown 24.2 innings, has 36 strikeouts, and has six walks, and opponents have a .193 batting average against him. In addition, Arrighetti has a 2.55 ERA in August. If Arrighetti can continue his good month, the Astros will win.

The Astros have a chance to score a lot of runs in this game. Walker has really struggled this season, especially lately. Walker has made three starts in August and has a 9.26 ERA. Additionally, Walker has allowed 16 hits in 11.2 innings and has struck out seven batters with walks. The Astros are one of the best offensive teams in the MLB, so they should be able to get Walker in this game. As long as they stay patient at the plate, the Astros will beat the Phillies.

Why the Phillies will cover/win the spread

Arrighetti is having a great month, but he has struggled with control at times this season. The Phillies have the seventh-most walks this season, so they are doing a great job of staying patient at the plate. Arrighetti has a 10.4 percent walk rate, so he will get some batters on base with walks in this game. Expect the Phillies to get some walks, so they just have to take advantage of those open bases. If the Phillies can do that, they will win this home game.

Philadelphia is playing good baseball right now. They won a series against the Kansas City Royals and won the first game against the Astros. The Phillies are also a much better team at home this season. At Citizens Bank Ballpark, the Phillies are almost 20 games over .500. Things are just going really well for them in Philadelphia. If they continue to play well at home, the Phillies will win this game.

Final Astros-Phillies Prediction and Pick

I think Spencer Arrighetti will be able to get off to a good start again in this game. Also, Taijuan Walker is a tough player to bet on. I'm betting on the Astros to win this road game.

Final Astros-Phillies Prediction and Pick: Astros ML (-108)